Storms and Convective discussion - August 2023

[johnholmes]

3 minutes ago, johnholmes said:

of course, brain cells would be helpful if I had them!

The trough/convergence zone is quite pronounced both 850 and 700 mb show it. Not looked at hte skew-t for Doncaster but I suspect the predict for 12Z will show possible tops pretty high.

Not that unstable but Lincoln looks more unstable  main tos 10000 or so but could go over 20000 although dry so isol tops only

ref Margate I'll have a look for you

[johnholmes]

1 minute ago, johnholmes said:

Not that unstable but Lincoln looks more unstable  main tos 10000 or so but could go over 20000 although dry so isol tops only

ref Margate I'll have a look for you

Margate more unstable higher and also moister, tops 18000 isol 22000+ but less so by 18Z, according to the Extra skew-T outputs

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

Just now, johnholmes said:

Margate more unstable higher and also moister, tops 18000 isol 22000+ but less so by 18Z, according to the Extra skew-T outputs

I'm seeing some hight cloud tops across towards Southend and to my left towards hernebay , am I correct in saying I'm in a optimal spot for the direction they are travelling , thankyou for the help

[Elloughtonsnow]

Just been in west hull,rain bucketing it down with drains not coping and roads like rivers

[TJS1998Tom]

BBC suggesting thundery showers till 6pm but I suspect it'll mostly be heavy showers, doesnt seem like much lightning is happening on the radar but plenty of showers about

[Rufus Butterfield]

Just now, TJS1998Tom said:

BBC suggesting thundery showers till 6pm but I suspect it'll mostly be heavy showers, doesnt seem like much lightning is happening on the radar but plenty of showers about

I get most weather apps struggle with forecasting thunderstorms, but sometimes they’re so wrong it’s laughable. 

[Thunders]

We still have the rest of this afternoon and tonight 

[alexisj9]

1 hour ago, johnholmes said:

cz=please?

Convergence zone.

[Atmogenic]

Definitely looks stormy in the far southeast 

 

 

just moved a bit ahead my location right now

 

Edited August 4, 2023 by Atmogenic
New pic

[Lincs Observation]

Afternoon all

so coming home from work in Sleaford and on my way to Anwick saw the biggest funnel cloud I’ve ever seen, you do see them a lot in Lincolnshire. Any way I was desperately looking to pull over safely to take a picture and parked at the local shop and run up the road to where I could get a good image, however that one dissipated before I could get a good spot.

attached is a video of another one roughly over Ewerby and a picture, then I decided to go back to my van an spotted another one so climbed onto the roof of my van to get a picture that’s the last image. 
 

im just gutted I didn’t get a pic of the first one it was a beast, so three funnel clouds and apocalyptic rain once I got home.

 

all very exciting

LO

 

Edited August 4, 2023 by Lincs Observation

[Lincs Observation]

These images are from twitter posted by Lincs FM from a motorist in North Kyme, North of the Location I took my images and shows another funnel cloud so four all in all in my area this afternoon.

[Lincs Observation]

It’s really unstable in my area, once the front had moved through it looked done and dusted however we have more building movement from my west unexpectedly so could have more fun and games again pretty soon

[alexisj9]

Looks like it's all done down here, some nice looking heavy showers, no thunder though.

[Lincs Observation]

This was the radar image when we had all those funnel clouds around 4.30, there was four in total , images I’ve already posted earlier.

if you zoom in you can see my location red dot

[Sprites]

43 minutes ago, Lincs Observation said:

These images are from twitter posted by Lincs FM from a motorist in North Kyme, North of the Location I took my images and shows another funnel cloud so four all in all in my area this afternoon.

Could of touched down looking at those. 

[Thunders]

8 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Looks like it's all done down here, some nice looking heavy showers, no thunder though.

nothing again, when will we get some plumes

[Lincs Observation]

13 minutes ago, Sprites said:

Could of touched down looking at those. 

The first one I saw was very wide and looked strong in core, I would have bet that it was on its way to the ground, it was awesome in structure and I’ve never seen a funnel so large however it did dissipate fairly quickly however the images I posted of the funnel at north kyme could have been part of that same rotation and possibly the rebuild and were to my east The ones I took images of where in the same system but over to the west.

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

1 hour ago, Lincs Observation said:

These images are from twitter posted by Lincs FM from a motorist in North Kyme, North of the Location I took my images and shows another funnel cloud so four all in all in my area this afternoon.

Man I just spent nearly a minute tapping the ‘close’ button in that screenshot

[Jamie M]

Convergence made for some good collisions between the different outflows from different showers that eventually made for a torrential downpour overhead

These pictures were taken between 15:05 & 15:18 today here in Herne Bay

[Metwatch]

Quite the lively early afternoon here if this came off, following on rain during all of the morning. Matches with the recent UKV runs showing some stuff into Midlands at that same time, right as the centre of the low passes over. Will watch radar if anything pops off. cc @CoventryWeather

Edited August 4, 2023 by Metwatch

[Sunny76]

On 02/08/2023 at 23:38, Thunders said:

If that does happen, we know who to thank 

It will happen. Because I predicted it would in the second half of August on a weekend night

[Eagle Eye]

Convective Outlook

Storm Antoni will head into the UK bringing heavy showers & t-storms for some. Severe has been issued for 50+mph gusts, especially along Wales, S/SW England and parts of Ireland. Lightning may become frequent at times although a lot of uncertainty.

[Thunders]

7 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:

Convective Outlook

Storm Antoni will head into the UK bringing heavy showers & t-storms for some. Severe has been issued for 50+mph gusts, especially along Wales, S/SW England and parts of Ireland. Lightning may become frequent at times although a lot of uncertainty.

It’ll miss me knowing my luck. It’s just too far north the slight and the black line is over me

[lottiekent]

14 hours ago, alexisj9 said:

Looks like it's all done down here, some nice looking heavy showers, no thunder though.

There were a few rumbles from that in Folkestone yesterday afternoon. Very heavy rain too for a short burst. We missed it as had to go to Canterbury (my nan-in-law is gravely ill unfortunately) but my son was home and told me about the thunder.

[CoventryWeather]

UKV seems to have moved southwards today with the storm risk, so not overly optimistic here. Seems the best risk seems to be a line from Gloucester to London looking at current satellite and guidance. 

Edited August 5, 2023 by CoventryWeather