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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted

Picture House, wetherspoons closed due to flooding, Bridge Street, Stafford, and some like this weather, ahem neves s

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Metwatch Maestro

Metwatch

Posted
  • Location: Coventry, 96m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, thunderstorms, warmth, sun any time!
  • Location: Coventry, 96m asl
Posted (edited)

Oh god no please

convective_overview_20240103_12_032.jpg

Edit: @I remember Atlantic 252It's the 12z Arome.

UKV 12z latest also bringing it further north but just misses me. Looks like another uncertain one just 24 hours before.

image.thumb.png.524eb7594089a6993886bfa9a693ebb0.png

Edited by Metwatch
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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, Metwatch said:

Oh god no please

convective_overview_20240103_12_032.jpg

what model is that? have been keeping an eye on this? most have this way south, but that is a drowning for us all

GFS position

image.thumb.png.4c6f83dfd725aee1872880e512719c9d.png

Edited by I remember Atlantic 252
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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted

FAX, really wanna get back in dry tomorrow, 2 absolute washout King's Bromley trips with wet clothes

image.thumb.png.aece6f63422ce43468754939c0332a09.png

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ANYWEATHER Maestro

ANYWEATHER

Posted
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
  • Weather Preferences: Enjoy the weather, you can't take it with you 😎
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
Posted
25 minutes ago, Metwatch said:

Oh god no please

convective_overview_20240103_12_032.jpg

Edit: @I remember Atlantic 252It's the 12z Arome.

UKV 12z latest also bringing it further north but just misses me. Looks like another uncertain one just 24 hours before.

image.thumb.png.524eb7594089a6993886bfa9a693ebb0.png

UKV was hopeless in forecasting yesterday's rain until it played catch up, gfs was the model which was spot on in the first place...😕

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Arctic Hare Accomplished

Arctic Hare

Posted
  • Location: Bewdley, Worcs; 90m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and sun in winter; warm and bright otherwise; not a big storm fan
  • Location: Bewdley, Worcs; 90m asl
Posted

Yeah, short-term rain forecasts seem to me to be an area where we really need some improvement. Obviously it's a lot harder than just "make the models better", but certainly for me in the Severn Valley they are noticeably fairly frequently well out. More so than most other types of forecast.

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matty40s Maestro

matty40s

Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
Posted
23 hours ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Picture House, wetherspoons closed due to flooding, Bridge Street, Stafford, and some like this weather, ahem neves s

Should improve the beer then...

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Neil Harris Enthusiast

Neil Harris

Posted
  • Location: Walsall
  • Location: Walsall
Posted

The model thread is moving at lightning speed, but one post that just stuck with me from a pro meteorologist ends with these words...

"Winter is about to start..."

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SollyOlly Rising Star

SollyOlly

Posted
  • Location: Solihull
  • Weather Preferences: Seasonal (but not excessive heat); love cold winters!
  • Location: Solihull
Posted
47 minutes ago, Neil Harris said:

The model thread is moving at lightning speed, but one post that just stuck with me from a pro meteorologist ends with these words...

"Winter is about to start..."

Yes, was that Matt H? I have been following him for a couple of years, really rate him (not that I understand most of what he says, it's too deep for me!). But given the complete dross of December, even a return to something more average would be welcome...anything more a bonus! January should be the heart of winter after all, but it's been a dead loss most of the last few years. Let's hope that we get something colder, drier and sunnier...

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Neil Harris Enthusiast

Neil Harris

Posted
  • Location: Walsall
  • Location: Walsall
Posted
9 minutes ago, SollyOlly said:

Yes, was that Matt H? I have been following him for a couple of years, really rate him (not that I understand most of what he says, it's too deep for me!). But given the complete dross of December, even a return to something more average would be welcome...anything more a bonus! January should be the heart of winter after all, but it's been a dead loss most of the last few years. Let's hope that we get something colder, drier and sunnier...

Yeah, that's the one. I followed him for a long time on various formats and he always takes time to explain his thought process (like you though a bit deep for me) , always giving a summary of what he thinks could happen and why.
Lets hope for some dry , bright weather to start with and kick on from there.

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Weather Enthusiast91 Accomplished

Weather Enthusiast91

Posted
  • Location: Birmingham, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Heat, sun and thunderstorms in summer. Cold sunny days and snow in winter
  • Location: Birmingham, West Midlands
Posted

Looks like today is the beginning of the end of the unsettled pattern we have been stuck with for weeks on end. Don't want to see any more rain for a while now.

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Arctic Hare Accomplished

Arctic Hare

Posted
  • Location: Bewdley, Worcs; 90m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and sun in winter; warm and bright otherwise; not a big storm fan
  • Location: Bewdley, Worcs; 90m asl
Posted (edited)

The river is up above 5 metres now, generally the sign of a severe flood. No cars allowed over the town bridge, not surprising when this pic shows one of the roads leading to it! Howeve, you can still walk via that path I mentioned in my earlier post. Fortunately it's been dry today and the river should start to recede tomorrow.

 

 

IMG_20240104_141354_DRO.jpg

Edited by Arctic Hare
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Metwatch Maestro

Metwatch

Posted
  • Location: Coventry, 96m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, thunderstorms, warmth, sun any time!
  • Location: Coventry, 96m asl
Posted

Looks like it's just about sparing us tonight. River Soar, Trent, Severn, Avon, Nene etc all those rivers currently very high should stay mostly dry if this stays far enough south.

image.thumb.png.e2f72f86b874866da020de6da17879c4.png

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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted
1 hour ago, Metwatch said:

Looks like it's just about sparing us tonight. River Soar, Trent, Severn, Avon, Nene etc all those rivers currently very high should stay mostly dry if this stays far enough south.

image.thumb.png.e2f72f86b874866da020de6da17879c4.png

frontal cloud all day from it here, Lichfield and King's Bromley

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Tommytomtom Explorer

Tommytomtom

Posted
  • Location: North Leicestershire
  • Location: North Leicestershire
Posted
1 hour ago, Metwatch said:

Looks like it's just about sparing us tonight. River Soar, Trent, Severn, Avon, Nene etc all those rivers currently very high should stay mostly dry if this stays far enough south.

image.thumb.png.e2f72f86b874866da020de6da17879c4.png

I really hope so. Ive still got my furniture upstairs from the 2nd and sandbags round my door. Really dont need that stress again! #riverwreake #Leicestershire 

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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted
3 minutes ago, Metwatch said:

Would have been an incredible sunset in summer with the high level frontal cloud!

dji_fly_20240104_161032_733_1704384775289_photo_optimized~2.jpg

IMG-20240104-WA0001.jpg

not as much as that here, Lichfield being further NW, the blue seemed closer

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matty40s Maestro

matty40s

Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
Posted

Its OK everyone, drought over.

Its finally been chucking it down again for the last hour East of Daventry.

😶

 

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SollyOlly Rising Star

SollyOlly

Posted
  • Location: Solihull
  • Weather Preferences: Seasonal (but not excessive heat); love cold winters!
  • Location: Solihull
Posted

It may be wishful thinking (!?), but it already feels a bit more seasonal out there this morning...? A decent nip in the air (I wouldn't call it a 'chill' just yet personally!) and hints of sun. In and around the University of Birmingham, at least. Something slightly more recognisable as a January day compared to ridiculous mild, boring cloud, or heavy rain...

Uplifts the spirits a little, at least! Now hopefully it gets colder from here, snow or no snow...

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Metwatch Maestro

Metwatch

Posted
  • Location: Coventry, 96m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, thunderstorms, warmth, sun any time!
  • Location: Coventry, 96m asl
Posted
5 hours ago, SollyOlly said:

It may be wishful thinking (!?), but it already feels a bit more seasonal out there this morning...? A decent nip in the air (I wouldn't call it a 'chill' just yet personally!) and hints of sun. In and around the University of Birmingham, at least. Something slightly more recognisable as a January day compared to ridiculous mild, boring cloud, or heavy rain...

Uplifts the spirits a little, at least! Now hopefully it gets colder from here, snow or no snow...

if only we can lose the cloud now that would be brill! Hopefully by Tuesday 🤞

image.thumb.png.aa49b959170208471cd325dfaa530b01.png03_105_rain_rate.thumb.png.8cac5dc578f08bc76c643a7ddea10e5f.png

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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted
5 minutes ago, Summer of 95 said:

Had more rain on and off today, was pretty heavy about 15 minutes ago. Thought yesterday was starting the dry spell?

Cheshire Gap flow, tv/models are useless

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Summer of 95 Seasoned

Summer of 95

Posted
  • Location: Shrewsbury
  • Location: Shrewsbury
Posted
26 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Cheshire Gap flow, tv/models are useless

They don't tend to pick them up very well. Hopefully we can get the same when (if) the cold air arrives!

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Iceman2606 Rising Star

Iceman2606

Posted
  • Location: Wellingborough, Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Thunderstorms☃⛈
  • Location: Wellingborough, Northamptonshire
Posted

4 January 2024 Time-Lapse

 

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BarometerCat Aficionado

BarometerCat

Posted
  • Location: Hinckley, Leicestershire 123m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow (Mostly)
  • Location: Hinckley, Leicestershire 123m ASL
Posted

anyone else noted the bright shiny orb out today? And no rain?  No comment on snow potential, at least if we see none it will be hopefully dry.

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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted
Just now, BarometerCat said:

anyone else noted the bright shiny orb out today? And no rain?  No comment on snow potential, at least if we see none it will be hopefully dry.

No, nothing like that here

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