South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - January 9th 2013>

[nanu]

Please please don't follow the BBC forecast .They are usually out of date. And with all the information you have at your hands with charts, graphs ETC. You could make your own forecast

im actually going by the ones on news 24 etc.. i know the recorded ones are not to go by but the ones with an actual weather presenter live or in studio

[Grinzzz]

I think major investment is needed on weather technology, seriously! This isn't a moan by the way, because I genuinely believe the GFS will start to gradually make some sense of the amount of cold coming very soon and thus fall in too line with the UKMO & ECM for that matter, although it would seem on 1 run that it's falling in line with the backtracked GFS on it's 4 consecutive runs now.

i agree. I bet the solution would be to throw more money at the models though. I have a limited understanding but personally believe this wouldn't make that much difference. What appears to be missing is data. They're having to forecast current conditions before they even start to run the models, that can't be good. Might give myself a little project to see how different those initial conditions are for each model

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Don't go in the model thread...Full of waste men! Really all i go in there for is the general information. But Jesus you would have thought some people don't ever get out and live inside. One run or something they don't like they go into melt down.

[Suburban Streamer]

Matt hugo's snow risk map for Sat night into sun morning...

[Heisenberg]

Its horrid in the Mod thread.....

My NW forecast for hatfield has now gone from snow for 24 hours with 90% chance to snow for a few hours with 60% chance....BOO

[Kent Snow]

A grey day again although the temperature is only 2C. Feels more like Winter!

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Matt hugo's snow risk map for Sat night into sun morning...

bingo!

[gottolovethisweather]

Its horrid in the Mod thread.....

My NW forecast for hatfield has now gone from snow for 24 hours with 90% chance to snow for a few hours with 60% chance....BOO

Which is only a 40% chance of it not happening. I'm sure you don't need telling that you might as well wipe your backside on these predictions. They are only useful for trends. In saying that, they have been trending taht way for many a day now.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Further inland and central you are looks best for snow (that is more snow) as the cold air digs in anywhere from say Reading to Kent across is looking good

[Jo S]

Matt hugo's snow risk map for Sat night into sun morning...

Now i like this one,yes plz

[Thinon]

This summary sums it up quite well for me http://www.metcheck.com/UK/

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Why are people CRYING about the GFS?

"However, all areas South of Birmingham should prepare for up to 10cm of snow during Saturday and overnight into Sunday."

buddy!

[Lampostwatcher]

Yep i will lol,that would be great,i want,i want ,i want

what forecasts

[NO LONGER POSTING]

This summary sums it up quite well for me http://www.metcheck.com/UK/

I hate Metcheck weather warnings..Where I live is ALWAYS right on the edge of amber or red..So of course..I take the Red

what forecasts

Met monkey

[Heisenberg]

Which is only a 40% chance of it not happening. I'm sure you don't need telling that you might as well wipe your backside on these predictions. They are only useful for trends. In saying that, they have been trending taht way for many a day now.

Yea i know....but when snow is on the cards my petulant child side comes out. "I want snow and I want to know how much im gonna get and when Im gonna get it"

I know the NW charts take data from the GFS so I doubt we can nail on any details until tomorrow night, but still I wanna know lol

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Yea i know....but when snow is on the cards my petulant child side comes out. "I want snow and I want to know how much im gonna get and when Im gonna get it"

I know the NW charts take data from the GFS so I doubt we can nail on any details until tomorrow night, but still I wanna know lol

All good things come to those that wait

[crazy_diamond]

....and wait and wait, and wait......

CD

[Jo S]

what forecasts

This one buy

Suburban Streamer

All good things come to those that wait

Snore

[daza07]

Peterborough snow risk has gone from 80% sat 90% sun and 90% mon to ZERO has the snow sheild been placed over us again ???

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Peterborough snow risk has gone from 80% sat 90% sun and 90% mon to ZERO has the snow sheild been placed over us again ???

Ignore them they are as good as intelligent life form out of our solar system trying to forecast our weather lol! (TBH, they might do a better job than us lol)

[throwoff]

Gillinghams chance gone from 90% to low 20's

[Thinon]

Gillinghams chance gone from 90% to low 20's

Not really, they're still two point clear of Port Vale

[Bogman]

Hmmmmm

UK Outlook for Tuesday 15 Jan 2013 to Thursday 24 Jan 2013:

Sunny spells and wintry showers are expected to affect the UK on Tuesday and Wednesday. The showers are expected to be most frequent towards the east with snow likely to low levels, giving the risk of significant accumulations across some eastern counties. More prolonged rain, sleet and snow may spread into the southwest by Wednesday. It will be cold, locally very cold, with widespread overnight frost and ice. Thereafter, there is greater than average uncertainty, but central and western areas are likely to be mainly fine and dry although some rain and milder conditions may temporarily spread into the far west. Elsewhere, snow showers are expected and these spread further west at times. Generally cold with widespread frost, icy patches and freezing fog in places.

Updated: 1137 on Thu 10 Jan 2013

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Jimmyh]

If this goes bang then we will all say the point of model watching is !!!!!

cannot remember a time like this

Coast your valuable input now. How likely do you think we are to a prolonged cold spell

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Hmmmmm

UK Outlook for Tuesday 15 Jan 2013 to Thursday 24 Jan 2013:

Sunny spells and wintry showers are expected to affect the UK on Tuesday and Wednesday. The showers are expected to be most frequent towards the east with snow likely to low levels, giving the risk of significant accumulations across some eastern counties. More prolonged rain, sleet and snow may spread into the southwest by Wednesday. It will be cold, locally very cold, with widespread overnight frost and ice. Thereafter, there is greater than average uncertainty, but central and western areas are likely to be mainly fine and dry although some rain and milder conditions may temporarily spread into the far west. Elsewhere, snow showers are expected and these spread further west at times. Generally cold with widespread frost, icy patches and freezing fog in places.

Updated: 1137 on Thu 10 Jan 2013

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

Depending on how strong the easterly is I think the showers could push quite far inland...Thames streamers possible?