South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>

[knocker]

8/8 Ns with continuous slight rain.

[Joe Levy]

what a great read this is, I wish they would print this in the express

 

http://weatherman79.wordpress.com/2014/01/19/winter-forecasting-the-broken-clock-conundrum/ 

I laughed so much reading that, thank you for sharing! It seems like Exacta spends more time attacking other forecasters than actually forecasting!

[Andy Bown]

A rare occurrence this winter to have frost and fog together, I had almost forgotten how pretty rime is when the sun breaks through ; tiny icicles glinting then dropping off the trees around 10.30 being one example.

[gottolovethisweather]

Don't want to get folk's hopes up too much but I would advise a precursory snow watch for two dates in the near future.

 

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/79144-model-output-discussion-19th-january-2014-18z-onwards/?p=2902279

 

These might not end up true snowfests but I feel anything's better than nothing at this stage.

Edited January 21, 2014 by gottolovethisweather

[Joe Levy]

Don't want to get folk's hopes up too much but I would advise a precautionary snow watch for two dates in the near future.

 

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/79144-model-output-discussion-19th-january-2014-18z-onwards/?p=2902279

 

This might not end up true snowfests I feel anything's better than nothing at this stage.

I would imagine that many of us in this region would see at least a few flakes from this, as cold northwesterlies often bring very heavy showers which can turn wintry with increasing intensity and over high ground. Anyone on Dartmoor and Exmoor should be particularly interested

Edited January 21, 2014 by Joe Levy

[ARTDEMOLE]

Fog ,Frost. Sunshine. Rain spots on window. All today ..  Dark tonight ..Enjoy it all,,,

Edited January 21, 2014 by ARTDEMOLE

[karlos1983]

I laughed so much reading that, thank you for sharing! It seems like Exacta spends more time attacking other forecasters than actually forecasting!

 

How anyone can read what they write and believe it and pay for the privilege is beyond me completely. I too laughed all the way through it.

Edited January 21, 2014 by gottolovethisweather
just edited your last comment, nothing specifically wrong with it but netweather probably doesn't require said attention. PM me if required, Karlos

[Joe Levy]

How anyone can read what they write and believe it and pay for the privilege is beyond me completely. I too laughed all the way through it.

I've sent it to a lot of my family, who are now bearing the brunt of my weather obsession it's amazing how many of my friends have been forced to understand who James Madden is and what the MJO is!

[AWD]

Current situation on the Somerset Levels, between Bridgwater & Taunton;

I don't think I've ever seen it as bad as that. There is almost a tide there.

With more rainfall forecast over the next 10 days or so too, it's looking rather ambiguous to say the least.

[Joe Levy]

Current situation on the Somerset Levels, between Bridgwater & Taunton;

image.jpg

I don't think I've ever seen it as bad as that. There is almost a tide there.

With more rainfall forecast over the next 10 days or so too, it's looking rather ambiguous to say the least.

It's interesting you say that, because when I tried to have a look at the environment agency website for river levels in that area, several of them came up as 'station not active' http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/homeandleisure/floods/riverlevels/120716.aspx?stationId=3066 is this an error? or is the water so deep that they cannot record anymore! (if that's possible) I noticed how high the water was on the levels whilst on the train from London to Exeter

[Kiwi]

Current situation on the Somerset Levels, between Bridgwater & Taunton;

image.jpg

I don't think I've ever seen it as bad as that. There is almost a tide there.

With more rainfall forecast over the next 10 days or so too, it's looking rather ambiguous to say the least.

 

Is it just my poor eyesight......or is Ian Botham building an ark??

 

[Frosty_wsm]

Current situation on the Somerset Levels, between Bridgwater & Taunton;

image.jpg

I don't think I've ever seen it as bad as that. There is almost a tide there.

With more rainfall forecast over the next 10 days or so too, it's looking rather ambiguous to say the least.

Can't see train services running along that stretch of line for much longer, especially with the kind of rain totals some of the models are showing for later this week.

[Skullzrulerz]

YES a big storm for the uk this sunday into monday

 

 

We do not need this storm with all this rain and wind.

[AWD]

Can't see train services running along that stretch of line for much longer, especially with the kind of rain totals some of the models are showing for later this week.

What isn't clear on the photo is the track is actually approx a foot above the water level currently as it is on a raised shelf. So as things stand, the water level shouldn't affect the train running.However, it all depends on what Mother Nature throws at us in the coming days ahead.

[somersetsnow]

YES a big storm for the uk this sunday into monday

 

 

We do not need this storm with all this rain and wind.

Not looking good

[Zephyr]

YES a big storm for the uk this sunday into monday

 

 

We do not need this storm with all this rain and wind.

 

I hope that doesn't come off how tight them isobars are on the south of that low looks damn right scary. 

Edited January 21, 2014 by Zephyr

[jtay]

Snowing on Winterwatch - bbc2.

Getting desperate now...

[Frosty_wsm]

Snowing on Winterwatch - bbc2.

Getting desperate now...

 

chucking it down with snow in new york right now too, just been checking it out on the webcam feeds after hearing the weatherman mention it on the bbc24 news weather forecast, kinda wish I hadn't looked now, I swear he mentioned it just to rub it in to us in the uk who are still waiting to see a flake or two in our own back yards lol

Edited January 21, 2014 by Smartie

[Joe Levy]

The Day After Tomorrow anyone? http://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/midtown/skyline/

[Mapantz]

Seriously wet here, 11mm has fallen in a short space of time! :O

[BARRY]

chucking it down with snow in new york right now too, just been checking it out on the webcam feeds after hearing the weatherman mention it on the bbc24 news weather forecast, kinda wish I hadn't looked now, I swear he mentioned it just to rub it in to us in the uk who are still waiting to see a flake or two in our own back yards lol

 

And minus 8 as well

[gottolovethisweather]

Just some of my own thoughts re: the broader scale outlook once again, courtesy of the MAD thread.

 

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/79144-model-output-discussion-19th-january-2014-18z-onwards/?p=2902818

[karlos1983]

quite like this.. let battle commence

 

oops, too many tabs open, was meant for mod thread sorry

Edited January 21, 2014 by karlos1983

[gottolovethisweather]

YES a big storm for the uk this sunday into monday

 

 

We do not need this storm with all this rain and wind.

 

Some of us might like the back edge snow it could bring though.

Edited January 21, 2014 by gottolovethisweather

[Joe Levy]

quite like this.. let battle commence

 

oops, too many tabs open, was meant for mod thread sorry

But battleground situations can either be soggy or snowy (more often the first) for the South-West, as we're often on the battleground!