Met Office and BBC Weekly/Monthly Outlooks

[Don]

40 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

like Dec 7th to 17th then, Donald

Donald?! 

No-one more than me would like snow, but it would beat the dross we've had to endure for the last two weeks for sure!!

[Summer Sun]

Monday 9 Jan - Wednesday 18 Jan

Unsettled and relatively mild weather is most likely to characterise the beginning of this period, with showers or longer spells of rain likely for many areas. Windward coasts and hills, especially in the west, seeing the heaviest and most frequent showers, but also a chance of some heavy rain across southern areas for a time. Any snowfall probably confined to the highest hills in the north. Moving into mid-January a trend towards less unsettled weather is expected, with more drier interludes for most. Such drier spells would see an increase in overnight frosts and morning fog patches as well as scope for lower daytime temperatures. Showers and longer spells of rain are still possible although mainly restricted to the north and northwest.

Thursday 19 Jan - Thursday 2 Feb

Mid-January is likely to bring less unsettled conditions, with more prolonged drier interludes for most areas increasing the incidence of overnight frost and morning fog and perhaps lower daytime temperatures too. Showers or longer spells of rain are possible, however mainly confined to the north and northwest. Towards the end of the period, a return to generally milder and unsettled conditions is the most likely outcome, with spells of wet and windy weather probable across all areas with only brief dry interludes.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

[northwestsnow]

If you haven't seen snow yet ,based on that forecast you might be waiting quite a while before you do..

Edited January 4, 2023 by northwestsnow

[Don]

2 hours ago, northwestsnow said:

If you haven't seen snow yet ,based on that forecast you might be waiting quite a while before you do..

I haven't seen any yet and to be honest I'm really starting to wonder if I will see any meaningful snow this winter now?!!

[Summer Sun]

Met Office 10 day trend

Rest of January

• Strong stratospheric polar vortex
• Westerlies more likely

 

[damianslaw]

4 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

Monday 9 Jan - Wednesday 18 Jan

Unsettled and relatively mild weather is most likely to characterise the beginning of this period, with showers or longer spells of rain likely for many areas. Windward coasts and hills, especially in the west, seeing the heaviest and most frequent showers, but also a chance of some heavy rain across southern areas for a time. Any snowfall probably confined to the highest hills in the north. Moving into mid-January a trend towards less unsettled weather is expected, with more drier interludes for most. Such drier spells would see an increase in overnight frosts and morning fog patches as well as scope for lower daytime temperatures. Showers and longer spells of rain are still possible although mainly restricted to the north and northwest.

Thursday 19 Jan - Thursday 2 Feb

Mid-January is likely to bring less unsettled conditions, with more prolonged drier interludes for most areas increasing the incidence of overnight frost and morning fog and perhaps lower daytime temperatures too. Showers or longer spells of rain are possible, however mainly confined to the north and northwest. Towards the end of the period, a return to generally milder and unsettled conditions is the most likely outcome, with spells of wet and windy weather probable across all areas with only brief dry interludes.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

Sounds akin to last January - high pressure moving in from the south and probably settle over the UK to give some frost and fog and temps around average but no snow. 

[Don]

19 minutes ago, damianslaw said:

Sounds akin to last January - high pressure moving in from the south and probably settle over the UK to give some frost and fog and temps around average but no snow. 

Yes, that was my fear after the cold spell in December finished, that the rest of winter could be similar to last year!  Just hope February doesn't follow suit!

[damianslaw]

30 minutes ago, Don said:

Yes, that was my fear after the cold spell in December finished, that the rest of winter could be similar to last year!  Just hope February doesn't follow suit!

A slightly colder high pressure as happened last January I would be happy with preferably with a snowy transition - could then live with a Feb like last year with gritted teeth i guess, but last Feb was very wet and stormy and something more toned down would be better. I don't expect such a wet and stormy Feb. Whilst the atlantic is strong it doesn't have the stormyness stride of many a year, indeed the lack of named storms this season is quite unusual by this stage.

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday 10 Jan - Thursday 19 Jan

Unsettled and relatively mild weather is most likely to characterise the beginning of this period, with showers or longer spells of rain likely for many areas, interspersed with clearer and brighter spells. Windward coasts and hills, especially in the west, seeing the heaviest and most frequent showers, potentially windy across all areas at times. Any snowfall probably confined to the highest hills in the north. Moving into mid-January a trend towards less unsettled weather is expected, with more drier interludes for most. Such drier spells would see an increase in overnight frosts and morning fog patches as well as scope for lower daytime temperatures. Showers and longer spells of rain are still possible although mainly restricted to parts of the west.

Friday 20 Jan - Friday 3 Feb

Mid to late January is likely to bring less unsettled conditions, with more prolonged drier interludes for most areas increasing the incidence of overnight frost and morning fog and perhaps lower daytime temperatures too. Showers or longer spells of rain are possible, however mainly confined to the west or northwest. Towards the end of the period, a return to generally milder and unsettled conditions is the most likely outcome, with spells of wet and windy weather probable across all areas with only brief dry interludes.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

[lassie23]

13 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Tuesday 10 Jan - Thursday 19 Jan

Unsettled and relatively mild weather is most likely to characterise the beginning of this period, with showers or longer spells of rain likely for many areas, interspersed with clearer and brighter spells. Windward coasts and hills, especially in the west, seeing the heaviest and most frequent showers, potentially windy across all areas at times. Any snowfall probably confined to the highest hills in the north. Moving into mid-January a trend towards less unsettled weather is expected, with more drier interludes for most. Such drier spells would see an increase in overnight frosts and morning fog patches as well as scope for lower daytime temperatures. Showers and longer spells of rain are still possible although mainly restricted to parts of the west.

Friday 20 Jan - Friday 3 Feb

Mid to late January is likely to bring less unsettled conditions, with more prolonged drier interludes for most areas increasing the incidence of overnight frost and morning fog and perhaps lower daytime temperatures too. Showers or longer spells of rain are possible, however mainly confined to the west or northwest. Towards the end of the period, a return to generally milder and unsettled conditions is the most likely outcome, with spells of wet and windy weather probable across all areas with only brief dry interludes.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

Probably will change in 10 days time.

[Don]

1 hour ago, lassie23 said:

Probably will change in 10 days time.

What, to a brutal cold outlook?!  

[Sunny76]

I should’ve stayed in Latvia.

Much better weather than the rubbish we are getting here.

 

[Don]

1 hour ago, Sunny76 said:

I should’ve stayed in Latvia.

Much better weather than the rubbish we are getting here.

 

Much more appealing than the crud we have over here, that's for sure!!

[Summer Sun]

Wednesday 11 Jan - Friday 20 Jan

On Wednesday, a mixture of sunshine and blustery showers, with hail and a risk of a thunderstorm, is likely for most places. Showers may merge into longer spells of rain at times. Strong winds with gales are likely across western coasts, with a low risk of severe gales in northwestern areas. For the rest of the period, unsettled weather conditions are expected to continue for many, with sunny spells and blustery showers expected in the west and northwest, and a chance of rain in southern areas. Wintry showers are likely in the highlands of Scotland. Temperatures generally near normal throughout the period, but colder at times in the north, and with milder spells in the south.

Saturday 21 Jan - Saturday 4 Feb

Mid to late January is likely to bring less unsettled conditions, with more prolonged drier interludes for most areas increasing the incidence of overnight frost and morning fog and perhaps lower daytime temperatures too. Showers or longer spells of rain are possible, however mainly confined to the west or northwest. Towards the end of the period, a return to generally milder and unsettled conditions is the most likely outcome, with spells of wet and windy weather probable across all areas with only brief dry interludes.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

[Summer Sun]

BBC Monthly Outlook

Mostly mild and unsettled until later January

Wednesday 4 January to – Sunday 8 January

Occasionally wet and windy but relatively mild

Monday 9 January to – Sunday 15 January

Unsettled and chillier, especially in the north

Monday 16 January to – Sunday 29 January

Possibly turning colder later in January

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

[Don]

2 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

Wednesday 11 Jan - Friday 20 Jan

On Wednesday, a mixture of sunshine and blustery showers, with hail and a risk of a thunderstorm, is likely for most places. Showers may merge into longer spells of rain at times. Strong winds with gales are likely across western coasts, with a low risk of severe gales in northwestern areas. For the rest of the period, unsettled weather conditions are expected to continue for many, with sunny spells and blustery showers expected in the west and northwest, and a chance of rain in southern areas. Wintry showers are likely in the highlands of Scotland. Temperatures generally near normal throughout the period, but colder at times in the north, and with milder spells in the south.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

There goes the mid month settled spell!

49 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

BBC Monthly Outlook

Mostly mild and unsettled until later January

Wednesday 4 January to – Sunday 8 January

Occasionally wet and windy but relatively mild

Monday 9 January to – Sunday 15 January

Unsettled and chillier, especially in the north

Monday 16 January to – Sunday 29 January

Possibly turning colder later in January

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

Later January continues to hold some interest, albeit with understandable uncertainty!

[Summer Sun]

BBC Monthly Outlook

Unsettled, then drier and chillier mid-January

Saturday 7 January to – Sunday 15 January

Periodically wet and windy

Monday 16 January to – Sunday 22 January

Unsettled for a while then a drier trend

Monday 23 January to – Sunday 5 February

Changeable and perhaps colder into February

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 12 Jan - Saturday 21 Jan

On Thursday, southern parts are likely to see a wet start, with rain spreading northeastwards through the day to affect many areas. The heaviest and most persistent rain is expected to be found over higher ground in the west, with the driest conditions in the far northeast. Lighter winds than of late across Scotland, but some stronger winds possible across the south. Generally mild. Later in the period, conditions are likely to be unsettled, with showers or longer spells of organised rain possible across all areas. Wettest in western parts, with wintry showers mostly confined to northern higher ground. Often windy. Temperatures perhaps colder than of late to start, but returning to average towards the end of the period.

Updated: 14:00 (UTC) on Sat 7 Jan 2023

Sunday 22 Jan - Sunday 5 Feb

The end of January may see a return to more settled conditions, particularly across the south, with the strongest winds and heaviest rain likely confined to northern areas for a time. Confidence is markedly low for the end of the period. A return to mostly unsettled conditions is most likely, with strong winds and rain possible for all areas. Temperatures generally mild, although some colder interludes likely, bringing wintry conditions at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

Met Office having none of the cold.

[Don]

2 hours ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

Met Office having none of the cold.

Miserable buggers!! 

[swfc]

1 minute ago, Don said:

Miserable buggers!! 

I've renamed them "creosote" what can I say

[damianslaw]

3 hours ago, swfc said:

I've renamed them "creosote" what can I say

Cold not in the Met Office vocabulary it seems. 

[KTtom]

Still not even a crumb of comfort for those in the MOD thread after todays update, in fact, the period post mid month the Met are forecasting it to get milder!

[That ECM]

6 minutes ago, KTtom said:

Still not even a crumb of comfort for those in the MOD thread after todays update, in fact, the period post mid month the Met are forecasting it to get milder!

Yep, not much encouragement in the one up to 22nd. Other one hasn’t updated yet but……

[northwestsnow]

Garbage update again..

Beginning to wonder if EC 00z is a mirage because it most certainly is  NOT reflected in the update today.