Met Office and BBC Weekly/Monthly Outlooks

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

40 minutes ago, Frigid said:

BBC monthly outlook suggesting a cooler 2nd half to January. Possibly a lot drier also 

BBC Weather

WWW.BBC.CO.UK

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Latest weather conditions and forecasts for the UK and the world. Includes up to 14-days of hourly forecast information, warnings, maps, and the latest editorial analysis and videos from the BBC Weather Centre.

 

It’s not exactly difficult to achieve a cooler second half January compared to the first half!

[Rain All Night]

1 hour ago, RainAllNight said:

Who's expecting this sentence to still be there this afternoon? 

Well, it isn't, but neither is the update a total disaster!

Edited January 11, 2023 by RainAllNight

[Summer Sun]

Monday 16 Jan - Wednesday 25 Jan

Much of this period is likely to be rather unsettled. On Monday, with cold air in place, showers are likely to be wintry across the north, even to low levels, with some wintriness in showers further south too, but equally there will be some sunny spells. For the following few days, the most likely scenario is one of generally colder conditions, compared to recently, to dominate, with potential for brief incursions of milder air tied with Atlantic frontal systems. This means further wet weather is likely, especially in the west, with perhaps a greater incidence of snow compared to what we've seen so far in January. Strong winds or gales are also possible at times.

Thursday 26 Jan - Thursday 9 Feb

The end of January may see more settled conditions, particularly across the south, with spells of strong winds and rain confined to northern areas for a time. Into the start of February, confidence is markedly low. A return to unsettled conditions is most likely, with further spells of strong winds and rain for all areas. Temperatures generally mild, although some colder interludes likely, bringing wintry conditions at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

Just some wintriness in showers for the South!

[Rain All Night]

5 minutes ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

Just some wintriness in showers for the South!

Where's the ironic "Merry Christmas" reaction when you need it!

[Don]

6 hours ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

Just some wintriness in showers for the South!

It didn't mention wintriness in the south in yesterday's update though!

[Don]

7 hours ago, RainAllNight said:

Well, it isn't, but neither is the update a total disaster!

February could possibly go either way with much hinging on the PV!

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

Will the Met Office mention any snow for lowland southern Britain in todays update ?

[northwestsnow]

7 minutes ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

Will the Met Office mention any snow for lowland southern Britain in todays update ?

Yes

[Allseasons-Si]

Tuesday 17 Jan - Thursday 26 Jan

Tuesday will see a continuation of sunny spells and wintry showers in many central and northern areas, with an area of rain, sleet and snow perhaps affecting some southern Britain for a time. Windy in the southwest with a chance of gales here. Further into the week colder conditions than of late are expected to continue, with overnight frost and some further wintry showers and ice. However, with time, there are signs that it will turn milder again as weather systems run in from the west, bringing further rain, especially to the west and northwest, and perhaps preceded by snow initially, along with the potential for strong winds or gales at times. By the end of the period, pressure may build towards the southeast.

Updated: 14:00 (UTC) on Thu 12 Jan 2023

Weather and climate change

WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

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Met Office weather forecasts for the UK. World leading weather services for the public.

 

[joggs]

Short cold snap then back to mild.

[Stuart]

6 minutes ago, joggs said:

Short cold snap then back to mild.

 it more then a cold snap 

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday 17 Jan - Thursday 26 Jan

Tuesday will see a continuation of sunny spells and wintry showers in many central and northern areas, with an area of rain, sleet and snow perhaps affecting some southern Britain for a time. Windy in the southwest with a chance of gales here. Further into the week colder conditions than of late are expected to continue, with overnight frost and some further wintry showers and ice. However, with time, there are signs that it will turn milder again as weather systems run in from the west, bringing further rain, especially to the west and northwest, and perhaps preceded by snow initially, along with the potential for strong winds or gales at times. By the end of the period, pressure may build towards the southeast.

Friday 27 Jan - Friday 10 Feb

The end of January may see more settled conditions, particularly across the south, with spells of strong winds and rain confined to northern areas for a time. Into the start of February, confidence is markedly low. A return to unsettled conditions is most likely, with further spells of strong winds and rain for all areas. Temperatures generally mild, although some colder interludes likely, bringing wintry conditions at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

[Norrance]

High pressure to the South East? No thanks.

[joggs]

3 hours ago, Stuart said:

 it more then a cold snap 

We have different expectations then. A cold snap to me is what's showing . A cold spell for me last over a week +

[Don]

6 hours ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

Will the Met Office mention any snow for lowland southern Britain in todays update ?

Happy now, aye?! 

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

4 minutes ago, Don said:

Happy now, aye?! 

Let’s hope there’s a few cms of snow to enjoy next week!

[Don]

1 hour ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

Let’s hope there’s a few cms of snow to enjoy next week!

Knowing my luck you will have several cms and I'll have sod all!! 

[damianslaw]

21 minutes ago, Don said:

Knowing my luck you will have several cms and I'll have sod all!! 

Been a long time since we had a few cms, there was a 3-4 inch very wet snowfall one morning in Feb 2020 only snow of that season, but it thawed very quickly. Winter 20-21 brought a number of 1-2 cm falls, again I think we had a wet 2 inch fall early Feb didn't stick around. Nov 28 2021 brought about 3cms and that was it for last winter.

Winter 18-19 again I think couple cms at best here.

Have to go back to Feb 28 2018 last time we had 3 inches +, stuck around for a couple of days but then thawed the following weekend.

Our last big snowfall nearly 10 years ago now, 8 inches 26 Jan 2013 that thawed in the afternoon. We just missed out on the blizzard of 23 Mar 2013, we have been very unlucky.

[Rain All Night]

Late today, must be a big one 

[Stuart]

Wednesday 18 Jan - Friday 27 Jan

Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday will likely bring bright or sunny spells for much of the UK, with some coastal wintry showers mainly affecting the north and east, although some may push further inland at times. Cold temperatures over this period will be exacerbated by strong winds with a widespread frost likely, most severe in the far north. A return to more generally unsettled weather is likely through next weekend and into the following week, with low pressure to the northwest of the UK bringing strong winds and heavy rain to many northern and western areas. The southeast or sheltered areas in the east will likely be drier and more settled. Temperatures expected to return to average for many, perhaps slightly above average at times.

Updated: 14:00 (UTC) on Fri 13 Jan 2023

 

Saturday 28 Jan - Saturday 11 Feb

As we move into February a continuation of unsettled weather is most likely, with the wettest and windiest conditions in the north and west, whilst the southeast and east likely experiencing spells of more settled conditions. Temperatures remaining around average or slightly above, however the risk of brief colder spells within this remains.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC) on Fri 13 Jan 2023

 

Weather and climate change - Met Office

[Don]

40 minutes ago, RainAllNight said:

Late today, must be a big one 

Nope

[joggs]

Pretty much as some of us thought tbh. High slowly sinking somewhere near us.

Personally hope we get a sww. Last chance saloon for me.

[lassie23]

yawnathon

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

Slightly above average temperatures instead of mild which is a slightly more positive update!