Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards

[Janefroggy]

Just had this notification, strange there's not a cloud in the sky. Just a random lightning strike. 

 

[Arnie Pie]

2 hours ago, Janefroggy said:

Just had this notification, strange there's not a cloud in the sky. Just a random lightning strike. 

 

that`s about the same time & place as yesterday`s strikes

 

Edited June 26, 2022 by Arnie Pie

[Iceman2606]

Showers and possible storms kicking off through tomorrow as an upper trough moves eastwards.?⛈

UKV 15z

AROME 12z

[Cheshire Freeze]

41 minutes ago, Iceman2606 said:

Showers and possible storms kicking off through tomorrow as an upper trough moves eastwards.?⛈

UKV 15z

AROME 12z

The Metoffice text forecast makes mention of the possibility of something thundery here later on tonight.

I think any lightning will be isolated however.

Edited June 26, 2022 by CreweCold

[Supacell]

Video edited and uploaded for my storm chase from North Yorkshire into County Durham on Friday.

 

[Sprites]

45 minutes ago, Supacell said:

Video edited and uploaded for my storm chase from North Yorkshire into County Durham on Friday.

 

A fair bit of rotation when it approached.

[The Tall Weatherman]

Will Convective weather stop the Cape underestimating ! They mentioned the high of around 400-500Jpkg but it’s looking more like 800-900JpKG. Looking like an interesting day today, anyone out chasing ?

[Harry]

11 minutes ago, The Tall Weatherman said:

Will Convective weather stop the Cape underestimating ! They mentioned the high of around 400-500Jpkg but it’s looking more like 800-900JpKG. Looking like an interesting day today, anyone out chasing ?

@The Tall Weatherman you need to appreciate models will calculate CAPE differently and generate different amounts. Dan who produced today’s forecast on Convective Weather is a bona fide meteorologist who, I think I’m right in saying, undertook his thesis on CAPE - he knows what he’s talking about

[Ben Sainsbury]

1 hour ago, Harry said:

@The Tall Weatherman you need to appreciate models will calculate CAPE differently and generate different amounts. Dan who produced today’s forecast on Convective Weather is a bona fide meteorologist who, I think I’m right in saying, undertook his thesis on CAPE - he knows what he’s talking about

You're correct there! Good to see Dan back doing the forecasts, not that Chris was bad at all! Also NMM is known to overdo CAPE amounts, most other models are more on the conservative side in line with Dan's forecast.

[Supacell]

9 hours ago, Sprites said:

A fair bit of rotation when it approached.

It was certainly very unstable looking out there.

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

Looks very angry out there 

[Frosty hollows]

Loads of convection and hefty showers popping up here!

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

[minus10]

Is this line going to electrify as it moves further east??

Looks interesting moving in fron the west...

Edited June 27, 2022 by minus10

[minus10]

More interesting..

 

[Rufus Butterfield]

Just made this video to sum up the storms I’ve had since September up until this May

 

[Justin1705]

[minus10]

Just had one crack and rumble...missed the flash though...

[minus10]

Well had 2mm from this and 1 crack and now a distant rumble.

Was hoping for more but will take anything at moment to alleviate the lack of rain...

[Justin1705]

Nice cloudscapes just a heavy shower here tho but the window of Oppurtunity looks up until 5, especially now the sun has shown itself 

[Harry]

Super bright flash of lightning and rumble in C London just now - literally seconds after I was thinking 'well that's the thunder risk gone for us today now' 

[Justin1705]

Low rumbles from the cell just south of luton

[minus10]

Yep rumble heard here again...big clouds moving in...

[TomLO04]

Thunder heard from the south. Lucky year for thunderstorms (in this corner of the country) . Sorry fellow midlanders and northerners

[Jamie M]

Plethora of anvils along here 

Sheerness cam has a good front as well