March CET

[phil nw.]

I am going for an above average month and say 7.2c.

[The Calm before the Storm]

A pretty zonal 1st half to the month with an above average CET followed by a slightly cooler 2nd half with anticyclonic conditions giving warm days but cool nights. Overall I predict the CET to be 6.6c

TCBTS

[Joneseye]

Stick me down for 7.5C please.

[Theresnoway]

Well I was 1.3 Deg out in Feb, so better have another go at March!

I will go for 6.9 Deg

[Mark H]

My punt is 7.6. Thanks.

[Mark Bayley]

Get your C.E.T prediction in soon as the closing date it tonight 23:59. I think you can enter a C.E.T after this but you lose points

[Megamoonflake]

Put me down for 7.1

[JohnAcc]

Here is the list as it stands at the moment. I will keep a record of late entries. I'm hoping to pull some points back on WIB once the Feb CET becomes official.

5.6: Kentish Man

5.7: Pudsey

5.8: Summer Blizzard

5.8: PersianPaladin

5.9: The Eye In The Sky

6.1: SteveB

6.2: Chris L

6.3: Mezzacyclone

6.3: Shugee

6.4: StormChaser1

6.4: Stratos Ferric

6.5: Mark Bayley

6.5: Gallow Glass

6.5: Norrance

6.6: The Calm Before the Storm

6.7: Flagpole

6.7: David Snow

6.8: Mr Data

6.8: Terminal Moraine

6.8: Winston

6.8: acbrixton

6.8: Matty M

6.8: ChillyMilly

6.8: Red Raven

6.8: Duncan Mcalister

6.9: Snow-Man 2006

6.9: VillagePlank

6.9: Stormmanic

6.9: James Weather Jones

6.9: Cheeky Monkey

6.9: Theresnoway

7.0: Optimus Prime

7.1: Blast From The Past

7.1: Megamoonflake

7.1: Stargazer

7.2: Dancc

7.2: Bottesford

7.2: phil n.warks

7.3: Kold

7.3: Great Plum

7.3: Paul B

7.3: Glacier Point

7.4: Reef

7.4: The Penguin

7.5: Snowyowl9

7.5: The PIT

7.5: Beng

7.5: Joneseye

7.6: Snowmaiden

7.6: WindSwept

7.6: Cymru

7.6: Mark H

7.7: Don

7.8: Roger Smith

7.8: Anti-Mild

7.8: JohnaAcc

7.9: SunDog

7.9: Magpie

7.9: UkMoose

8.0: Vince

8.0: Somerset Squall

8.1: Lesta Snow

8.2: Catch My Drift

8.3: West Is Best

8.4: Davehsug

8.5: jimmyay

8.7: Gray-Wolf

8.8: mk13

8.8: Paul Carfoot

9.0: Rollo

9.0: Stephen Prudence

9.0: eddie

10.0: Craig Evans

Rgds, John

Edited February 28, 2007 by JohnAcc

[Don]

I hope like February I'm wrong with my CET predicition for March. Hopefully this time my prediction will turn out to be 2C or more too high rather than 2C too low for February!

[BornFromTheVoid]

7.6 me thinks

[Thundery wintry showers]

Right: my current analysis suggests:

An unsettled first 10 days with average to mild daytime temperatures, and mild night temperatures, with an outturn of 7.0C in the CET zone.

Middle third: colder and more settled, possible wintry showers at times but no major snow events, an outturn of 5.4C for the 11th-20th

Final third: a warm spell is likely, so CET of 9.1C for this period

Therefore, my March prediction is 7.3C

[Stu_London]

7.4 for me

[Stratos Ferric]

...I may yet change my mind, based on runs between now and Wednesday, but my provisional punt is ..

6.4.

..and I have: I regreted my late addition of 0.2C this month, but that's not going to deter me; once bitten, twice bitten...

the jet may well stay more south than has generally been the case recently, but the seas are still warm, and it's a warming month. Put me down for a 6.9 please Bob...

[pottyprof]

I'm going for 5.8oC.. I think there's a tad of a block on the cards.. Probably wrong though...

[osmposm]

...I regreted my late addition of 0.2C this month, but that's not going to deter me.......Put me down for a 6.9 please Bob...

I think you'll be regretful once more at the end of March, SF: my punt is for a whisker below the 71-00 average (and only a whisker above this Feb, too), at 6.2^oC

Edit: Oh bugger, I didn't miss the deadline did I?

Edited March 1, 2007 by osmposm

[acbrixton]

Omposm using the 10 year rolling average from PE's "Manley" series the average is now 9c...so quite cool by recent stanfarfd!

Regards

ACB

[AtlanticFlamethrower]

6.1C

[osmposm]

Omposm using the 10 year rolling average from PE's "Manley" series the average is now 9c...so quite cool by recent stanfarfd!

ACB, I think you must have meant to say 7c, not 9 - but then your spelling of "standards" suggests your typing isn't at its best tonight....been at the cooking wine, have we?!

But I do take your point. March, like the rest of 'em, certainly ain't getting any colder, and my guess is distinctly below the recent norm: 6.8 or 6.9 might have been a more sensible shout. But, hey, there's already FOURTEEN of you sheep pitching for those....and besides, I just have a feeling (which I will naturally remind everyone of if that's where we end up, and quietly forget if it isn't).

[JohnAcc]

Here is the most recent list. Remember, there are penalties for entering late

5.6: Kentish Man

5.7: Pudsey

5.8: PersianPaladin

5.8: Summer Blizzard

5.8: pottyprof

5.9: The Eye In The Sky

6.1: SteveB

6.1: AtlanticFlameThrower ** 1 Day Late Entry **

6.2: Chris L

6.2: osmposm

6.3: Mezzacyclone

6.3: Shugee

6.4: StormChaser1

6.5: Gallow Glass

6.5: Mark Bayley

6.5: Norrance

6.6: The Calm Before the Storm

6.7: David Snow

6.7: Flagpole

6.8: acbrixton

6.8: ChillyMilly

6.8: Duncan Mcalister

6.8: Matty M

6.8: Mr Data

6.8: Red Raven

6.8: Terminal Moraine

6.8: Winston

6.9: Cheeky Monkey

6.9: James Weather Jones

6.9: Snow-Man 2006

6.9: Stormmanic

6.9: Stratos Ferric

6.9: Theresnoway

6.9: VillagePlank

7.0: Optimus Prime

7.1: Blast From The Past

7.1: Megamoonflake

7.1: Stargazer

7.2: Bottesford

7.2: Dancc

7.2: phil n.warks

7.3: Glacier Point

7.3: Great Plum

7.3: Kold

7.3: Paul B

7.3: Thundery wintry showers

7.4: Reef

7.4: The Penguin

7.4: Stulondon

7.5: Beng

7.5: Joneseye

7.5: Snowyowl9

7.5: The PIT

7.6: Cymru

7.6: Mark H

7.6: Slipknotsam

7.6: Snowmaiden

7.6: WindSwept

7.7: Don

7.8: Anti-Mild

7.8: JohnaAcc

7.8: Roger Smith

7.9: Magpie

7.9: SunDog

7.9: UkMoose

8.0: Somerset Squall

8.0: Vince

8.1: Lesta Snow

8.2: Catch My Drift

8.3: West Is Best

8.4: Davehsug

8.5: jimmyay

8.7: Gray-Wolf

8.8: mk13

8.8: Paul Carfoot

9.0: eddie

9.0: Rollo

9.0: Stephen Prudence

10.0: Craig Evans

Rgds, John

Edited March 1, 2007 by JohnAcc

[summer blizzard]

Here is the most recent list. Remember, there are penalties for entering late

5.6: Kentish Man

5.7: Pudsey

5.8: PersianPaladin

5.8: Summer Blizzard

5.8: pottyprof

5.9: The Eye In The Sky

6.1: SteveB

6.1: AtlanticFlameThrower ** 1 Day Late Entry **

6.2: Chris L

6.2: osmposm

6.3: Mezzacyclone

6.3: Shugee

6.4: StormChaser1

6.5: Gallow Glass

6.5: Mark Bayley

6.5: Norrance

6.6: The Calm Before the Storm

6.7: David Snow

6.7: Flagpole

6.8: acbrixton

6.8: ChillyMilly

6.8: Duncan Mcalister

6.8: Matty M

6.8: Mr Data

6.8: Red Raven

6.8: Terminal Moraine

6.8: Winston

6.9: Cheeky Monkey

6.9: James Weather Jones

6.9: Snow-Man 2006

6.9: Stormmanic

6.9: Stratos Ferric

6.9: Theresnoway

6.9: VillagePlank

7.0: Optimus Prime

7.1: Blast From The Past

7.1: Megamoonflake

7.1: Stargazer

7.2: Bottesford

7.2: Dancc

7.2: phil n.warks

7.3: Glacier Point

7.3: Great Plum

7.3: Kold

7.3: Paul B

7.3: Thundery wintry showers

7.4: Reef

7.4: The Penguin

7.4: Stulondon

7.5: Beng

7.5: Joneseye

7.5: Snowyowl9

7.5: The PIT

7.6: Cymru

7.6: Mark H

7.6: Slipknotsam

7.6: Snowmaiden

7.6: WindSwept

7.7: Don

7.8: Anti-Mild

7.8: JohnaAcc

7.8: Roger Smith

7.9: Magpie

7.9: SunDog

7.9: UkMoose

8.0: Somerset Squall

8.0: Vince

8.1: Lesta Snow

8.2: Catch My Drift

8.3: West Is Best

8.4: Davehsug

8.5: jimmyay

8.7: Gray-Wolf

8.8: mk13

8.8: Paul Carfoot

9.0: eddie

9.0: Rollo

9.0: Stephen Prudence

10.0: Craig Evans

Rgds, John

Thanks for that, i was just about to do it myself but oh well.

Bring on 5.8C.

[osmposm]

Great lists, JA & SB: thank you. From a situation where nobody seemed to want to do it, we now have people fighting for the privilege! That strikes me as extremely good news.

Perhaps we should have a spinoff competion to see who can get the list in first after midnight - correctly formatted and without errors, of course?!?

Ossie

[reef]

Thanks for that, i was just about to do it myself but oh well.

Bring on 5.8C.

Curious, I thought your prediction for March was for the warmest on record. Yet on here you're going for half a degree below average?

[summer blizzard]

I have two methods which i use, the usual one, and the one in my forecast went for 9.3C, which would be the warmest on record, however another method which i have developed and seems to be more accurate, calls for 5.8C, i have decided to back that method, though if we are anywhere near 9C at the end of the month, i will back my traditional methodfor April, which calls for a CET of 10.6C.

[Weather-history]

I think we may need to keep an eye on rainfall totals for this March as well as the CET

Wettest Marches on record

1947 177.5mm

1981 160.4mm

1818 134.7mm

1979 127.0mm

1919 123.4mm

1914 119.7mm

1836 119.5mm

1912 118.4mm

1951 116.2mm

1862 114.8mm

1812 110.7mm

[Frosty.]

I predict an increasingly mild/warm month and after a wet and windy first third of the month it should settle down a bit with temps nudging into the mid to upper teens celsius by mid-month onwards, maybe another unsettled phase during the last week. :

Edited March 2, 2007 by Frosty039