London And Southeast Cold Spell Discussion

[wee]

Hi Guys been at work all day and have not seen any weather forecasts ,can anyone update me as to if Brighton is in for any snow? its have been milder today but seems to be getting chiller now and cloudy.

[ZONE 51]

Hi Guys been at work all day and have not seen any weather forecasts ,can anyone update me as to if Brighton is in for any snow? its have been milder today but seems to be getting chiller now and cloudy.

yes its turning colder tonight and there is a chance of snow shrs , ive circled some cloud im watching as this should move in later with the cold pool of air and bring snow shrs over se.

[Callie]

Got a sleety/snow shower here

[wee]

yes its turning colder tonight and there is a chance of snow shrs , ive circled some cloud im watching as this should move in later with the cold pool of air and bring snow shrs over se.

Cool thanks Nimbilus,do you think it could give a covering of snow or will it just be light showers?

[ZONE 51]

there are other hints at this snow chance as indicated by ppn forcast for tonight/early hrs

gfs updates shows this to , so its radar watching ,might get a dusting in places , might be nothing as happens sometimes, but the chances are there got to go now cant post but can read posts and radar watch

Edited February 12, 2010 by nimbilus

[snowray]

there are other hints at this snow chance as indicated by ppn forcast for tonight/early hrs

gfs updates shows this to , so its radar watching ,might get a dusting in places , might be nothing as happens sometimes, but the chances are there got to go now cant post but can read posts and radar watch

One would take that lot very gratefully here in Snow starved Erith!

[Snow Cat]

Showers on the radar are filtering down the channel and I can see them going out to sea. I want them inland! (only if they are wintery in nature).

[Hurricane Debby]

yes its turning colder tonight and there is a chance of snow shrs , ive circled some cloud im watching as this should move in later with the cold pool of air and bring snow shrs over se.

Hi Nimbilus. Where about in North Surrey are you ?

[Guest archiesmummy]

Hi all

any body care to give us a glimpse into next week? wondered if same areas are likely to get snow again or will us in essex have a chance?

Thanks and hope your all making the most of your new snow!

[Weathizard]

Hi all

any body care to give us a glimpse into next week? wondered if same areas are likely to get snow again or will us in essex have a chance?

Thanks and hope your all making the most of your new snow!

Probably rain unfortunately.

[Guest archiesmummy]

Probably rain unfortunately.

no, really? is the press just really hyping up then? heard might get colder by end of the weekend with more snow poss for next week but they are not sure where!

[Snow Cat]

So whats happening tonight then? Snow? The GFS charts showing some pretty cold air over the south east and precipitation through the night:

http://charts.netweather.tv/gfsimages/gfs.20100212/12/18/h850t850eu.png

http://charts.netweather.tv/gfsimages/gfs.20100212/12/18/ukprec.png

[Guest North Sea Snow Convection]

Frost and ice have returned out - the slush on the pavement has that reassuring crackle back to it and cars on my side road are making that sound as well.

I'm sure that if we go by the models then every chance of a snow shower or two tonight - especially over Hythe

Edited February 12, 2010 by North Sea Snow Convection

[Weathizard]

So whats happening tonight then? Snow? The GFS charts showing some pretty cold air over the south east and precipitation through the night:

http://charts.netwea.../h850t850eu.png

http://charts.netwea...2/18/ukprec.png

I don't believe that Precip chart, the Met Office's one says no snow other than maybe few showers.

[Guest North Sea Snow Convection]

Tonights ECM hinting at a possible channel low in a weeks time - ideally would want the low literally just a fraction further south for all of us. But that far off it doesn't really matter. Something to hope keeps appearing anyway

Edited February 12, 2010 by North Sea Snow Convection

[Snow Cat]

I'm sure that if we go by the models then every chance of a snow shower or two tonight - especially over Hythe

You can be sure I'll have my eye on the nearest lamp post.

[yamkin]

Tonights ECM hinting at a possible channel low in a weeks time - ideally would want the low literally just a fraction further south for all of us. But that far off it doesn't really matter. Something to hope keeps appearing anyway

Will Hand the chief forecaster at Haytor thinks the chart above is likely to materialise

Also, Will Hand's weather update for Dartmoor is really interesting. This will hit us too

http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/weeklydiscussions.htm

Some snow tonight into tomorrow is on the cards

Edited February 12, 2010 by yamkin

[Blizzard_of_Oz]

Did any 1 see Peter Cockroft on BBC SE he said snow on Tuesday and the models suggest this for our Region the SE?

[yamkin]

Did any 1 see Peter Cockroft on BBC SE he said snow on Tuesday and the models suggest this for our Region the SE?

That's right. he first of all showed wintry showers tonight and tomorrow, then he showed heavy snow for the SE on Tuesday

By the way, Will Hand is really ramping up next week especially the 20th Feb and guess what, ECM 12Z is showing what Will is ramping about. I wonder......

Edited February 12, 2010 by yamkin

[Lazarus]

That's right. he first of all showed wintry showers tonight and tomorrow, then he showed heavy snow for the SE on Tuesday

By the way, Will Hand is really ramping up next week especially the 20th Feb and guess what, ECM 12Z is showing what Will is ramping about. I wonder...... :yahoo:

Yep.. he posted this on the 9th Feb & has been firming it up ever since!

cut/paste from uk.sci.weather

Becoming increasingly confident now that after Monday the snowiest spell of

the winter is about to hit the UK with widespread lowland snow.

The benign cold spell will start to withdraw on Sunday as the high

retrogresses allowing a much colder airmass originating from sub 492 DAM air

near the pole to flood south with sub 522DAM thickness and falling pressure.

Three things will aid snow development:

1. South moving air increasing absolute vorticity forcing ascent and falling

pressure.

2. Decreasing stability forcing convection

3. Northerly jet streak propagating south from Iceland forcing mass ascent

of air on its cold side (over UK).

I have kept quiet till now wanting to see how this was likely to pan out but

now it is becoming clearer when the serious snow will arrive - from Monday

onwards for about a week. Get those snow shovels ready, nobody will be

immune, even lowland coastal SW areas.

Ciao,

Will

Edited February 12, 2010 by Lazarus

[yamkin]

Is this bloke normally good? Can you see his previous forecasts?

That's nice lol what you doing on here?

This winter he has been very good. He is not one for ramping for the sake of it, so I take his latest forecasts very seriously. Peter Cockroft has even gone all the way out to next Tuesday with heavy snow for the SE.

[Lazarus]

This winter he has been very good. He is not one for ramping for the sake of it, so I take his latest forecasts very seriously.

Seconded!

[jojobut]

Cool we shall all have to wait and see

[Lazarus]

Anyone in Deal can let us Dover / Folkstonites know what that shower is like? http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

[<<Ryan>>]

someone tell me how good the shower is in eastkent. is it producing much??