Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?

[Chertseystreamer79]

1 minute ago, Djdazzle said:

You forgot “boom”, “potential” and “models picking up the SSW.”

Bingoooooo!

[DJ Fart]

1 minute ago, Djdazzle said:

You forgot “boom”, “potential” and “models picking up the SSW.”

"More runs needed"

[Methuselah]

Just now, Djdazzle said:

You forgot “boom”, “potential” and “models picking up the SSW.”

I also forgot 'coffee', 'cigar' and 'better upstream amplification'. How remiss of me!

[Vikos]

3 minutes ago, General Cluster said:

I also forgot 'coffee', 'cigar' and 'better upstream amplification'. How remiss of me!

(Better) Uppers...

Edited January 8, 2021 by Vikos

[snowmackem]

3 minutes ago, General Cluster said:

I also forgot 'coffee', 'cigar' and 'better upstream amplification'. How remiss of me!

"Where's the Prozac", "Winter's over", "Give up, I'm finding a new hobby"

[Blessed Weather]

OK guys. I think we have enough clichés now thanks. Back to 12z model output please......

[That ECM]

Nice start from Ukmo.

[SMU]

UKMO 144 now edging towards the 2013 scenario as more & more energy slides SE

( would be 156 /168 ) on the face of it

@snowking

@Paul Sherman

Edited January 8, 2021 by Steve Murr

[frosty ground]

more amplified?

[Griff]

10 minutes ago, Blessed Weather said:

OK guys. I think we have enough clichés now thanks. Back to 12z model output please......

"back to the models" - full house (go on, indulge me ) 

.... Here's a model. 

ICON 12z, I wasn't expecting this to be honest. 

 

[ICE COLD]

Mate that UKMO T144 is a beauty

[Weathizard]

The classic wedge, just need it a little further west

[Notty]

Cold air pushing west ?

[Cold Winter Night]

3 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

more amplified?

Yes, more than 6Z, although not as much as UKMO at that same timeframe.

[That ECM]

Just now, ICE COLD said:

Mate that UKMO T144 is a beauty

T120 gfs & Ukmo differences are evident. Unfortunately it’s the gfs that goes on when actually it’s the ukmo I would rather see.

[Fourty Point Three Degrees]

54 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

Glad it’s just the JMA then

Never assume just because a horse with a poor reputation is losing the race that it wont win

[Drifter]

With such big differences between UKMO and GFS, anything after day 6 should just be looked at the novelty value really. 
However, if ECM sides with UKMO it will be interesting to see how it develops.

[Weathizard]

At least our resident Greek @Vikoswill be happy... 

Edited January 8, 2021 by Weathizard

[Methuselah]

4 minutes ago, Weathizard said:

The classic wedge, just need it a little further west

Wedges make sledges?

[Frosty.]

1 hour ago, Rollo said:

Jon you are a fixture here, please keep posting.

Cheers friend..means a lot!..and for sure the GEFS 6z is not without interest from a cold perspective, looking at the bigger picture rather than just our tiny dot on the map!

[SMU]

Never forget 2013... UKMO was all over it & GFS ploughed the energy east!

[Griff]

Probably both wrong? 

[Drifter]

1 minute ago, Steve Murr said:

Never forget 2013... UKMO was all over it & GFS ploughed the energy east!

I keep seeing 2013 mentioned but I seem to have had amnesia about it. If anyone can give dates of the standout cold spells so I can geek out on the archive charts it would be appreciated. 

I think I was in a haze with two young babies that winter so was barely aware what was going on the weather world!

[goosey007]

3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Never forget 2013... UKMO was all over it & GFS ploughed the energy east!

I remember this I am sure we were inside T96 before GFS smelt the coffee

[Notty]

4 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Never forget 2013... UKMO was all over it & GFS ploughed the energy east!

My memory is poor. How did ECM do at the same time Steve?