Model Output Discussion - Snow Watch limited edition

[Tim Bland]

4 minutes ago, BLAST FROM THE PAST said:

Yep we can ‘trust’ that.  Cold is here and digging in.  Lots more to come….coldest UK March night in 13 years last night…who’d have thought?
 

BFTP

2c isn’t mild

 BFTP

That’s the ECM output and most outputs are similar. This isn’t a remarkable cold spell, even today was too marginal for snow to settle in central areas. Tomorrow is forecast up to 10c in central London and widely 8c+ in the south. Yes there will be deep snow for a while on high ground eg Peak District but nothing that unusual for late winter / early spring.  Time will tell but I’m not seeing anything special cold wise I’d be interested to know in a weeks time what your mid day snow depths were and daily max temp was for your area ..On paper do you think it will be memorable / historic ? 

[RhHh]

19 minutes ago, BLAST FROM THE PAST said:

Yep we can ‘trust’ that.  Cold is here and digging in.  Lots more to come….coldest UK March night in 13 years last night…who’d have thought?
 

BFTP

2c isn’t mild

 BFTP

All subjective. Crap in our little corner however you try to dress it up. 

[Martz86]

Started with wet snow about midday here, occasionally switching between rain/snow(heavy at times) up until the sun went down, at which point it started snowing properly and has managed to settle a bit on the wet ground since the temp/dew point has dropped just below freezing. 

[Polar Maritime]

Sheep are in here, what a job.. Many local farmers have been panicking given the updated warnings earlier The stress doesn't do them good when in lamb. But it's for the best..

[KTtom]

17 minutes ago, MATTWOLVES 3 said:

 

 

Looks like the March weather we used to have, wild swings in conditions from day to day, one day its springlike, the next were back into winter. Nice to see. 

[Snowyowl9]

29 minutes ago, BLAST FROM THE PAST said:

Yep we can ‘trust’ that.  Cold is here and digging in.  Lots more to come….coldest UK March night in 13 years last night…who’d have thought?
 

BFTP

2c isn’t mild

 BFTP

Coldest march day since The Mini Beast 1.2c max..

Tomorrow is a bit of a strange one ok mild blip comes in but surface temps are cold..

[Scott Ingham]

25 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

That’s the ECM output and most outputs are similar. This isn’t a remarkable cold spell, even today was too marginal for snow to settle in central areas. Tomorrow is forecast up to 10c in central London and widely 8c+ in the south. Yes there will be deep snow for a while on high ground eg Peak District but nothing that unusual for late winter / early spring.  Time will tell but I’m not seeing anything special cold wise I’d be interested to know in a weeks time what your mid day snow depths were and daily max temp was for your area ..On paper do you think it will be memorable / historic ? 

Im 50m asl and forecast 10cm +. Im not high ground. For Yorkshire this is a very decent snowfall upcoming. The warning doesnt just cover high ground.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

4 minutes ago, Snowyowl9 said:

Coldest march day since The Mini Beast 1.2c max..

Tomorrow is a bit of a strange one ok mild blip comes in but surface temps are cold..

Freezing rain risk north?

[Stuie]

Just flicked through the UKV for the next 48hrs. If there is an amber warning in this spine area tomorrow with precipitation rate.

It shows this rate for EA on Friday as it clears. 

9am

Edit:

Like a battleground affair.

Edited March 8, 2023 by Stuie

[JR319]

Wasn’t it always going to be a marginal event at best for the South? 
 

It’s snowing moderately here in Leicester and pretty much all of the Midlands has had a decent covering, It seems the mild sector hasn’t reached here (yet) 

[Snowyowl9]

17 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Freezing rain risk north?

On the higher hills I would think..

Click on nottingham Wattnal it shows snow all day heavy..

I think there will be plenty of hill fog here..

How long will it snow tomorrow the big question..drifting will continue all night..

Wind Map - Britain Observations

WWW.XCWEATHER.CO.UK

 

Edited March 8, 2023 by Snowyowl9

[Guest]

29 minutes ago, Scott Ingham said:

Im 50m asl and forecast 10cm +. Im not high ground. For Yorkshire this is a very decent snowfall upcoming. The warning doesnt just cover high ground.

Absolutely. What is forecast for this region, in spite of our good location for snow in general, isn't exactly the norm for early/mid March lol.

[snefnug]

from a snowy North east Wales.  No charts, no pics. Sorry.

[Bricriu]

48 minutes ago, Scott Ingham said:

Im 50m asl and forecast 10cm +. Im not high ground. For Yorkshire this is a very decent snowfall upcoming. The warning doesnt just cover high ground.

For us too over the water . It could be the most snow since 2010 in fact. I certainly don't live on high ground either(80m asl) 

[we1330]

1 hour ago, Martz86 said:

Started with wet snow about midday here, occasionally switching between rain/snow(heavy at times) up until the sun went down, at which point it started snowing properly and has managed to settle a bit on the wet ground since the temp/dew point has dropped just below freezing. 

Same here in Huntingdon :).

[Tim Bland]

Lots of southern and central areas were forecast a decent snow depth today / tonight,  but measurable snow was limited / isolated. Models didn’t handle it well at all. Luton for example was forecast to have between 5 & 10cm right now depending on which model you looked at… it actually has 1cm .   Hope tomorrow is better for northern members

[saintkip]

5 cm in Basingstoke, I’d say that’s a pretty good effort for March, hasn’t  melted either even thought it’s been raining all afternoon/evening 

[Polar Maritime]

1 hour ago, Scott Ingham said:

Im 50m asl and forecast 10cm +. Im not high ground. For Yorkshire this is a very decent snowfall upcoming. The warning doesnt just cover high ground.

But it's still a very limited area and rather short lived if so at that alt, Given the colder air retaining at higher alt. We shall see. 

Still snowing here and temp dropping with full snow cover.

Edited March 8, 2023 by Polar Maritime

[WillinGlossop]

1 hour ago, Tim Bland said:

That’s the ECM output and most outputs are similar. This isn’t a remarkable cold spell, even today was too marginal for snow to settle in central areas. Tomorrow is forecast up to 10c in central London and widely 8c+ in the south. Yes there will be deep snow for a while on high ground eg Peak District but nothing that unusual for late winter / early spring.  Time will tell but I’m not seeing anything special cold wise I’d be interested to know in a weeks time what your mid day snow depths were and daily max temp was for your area ..On paper do you think it will be memorable / historic ? 

30-40cm is unusual and quite notable for March here in Peak District 

[Polar Maritime]

Just now, WillinGlossop said:

30-40cm is unusual and quite notable for March here in Peak District 

Agree it is in the Peak District.

[Mike Poole]

1 minute ago, Tim Bland said:

Lots of southern and central areas were forecast a decent snow depth today / tonight,  but measurable snow was limited / isolated. Models didn’t handle it well at all. Luton for example was forecast to have between 5 & 10cm right now depending on which model you looked at… it actually has 1cm .   Hope tomorrow is better for northern members

I’m pretty sure some of this is down to the chart providers rather than the models - I’m sure some charts showing ‘snow depth’ are actually cumulative snow from time zero.  The ones on Meteociel make it quite clear which it is (in French), but I’m not sure about some of the others.

I think we got what most were expecting today - a welcome snow event after a snowless winter, with the obvious issues re settling given it is now March.  Despite what some say, I don’t get the impression many on here (in the south anyway) were expecting ice days and powder snow!  I’ll be interested to see what happens further north tomorrow, where the cold has had a few days in place already.  

[ChezWeather]

18z ICON first off the blocks tonight, slightly further South with better snow depth for the East Midlands

[Kiwi]

Decent covering in Silchester, just to the NW of Basingstoke.  At least 5cm ...when out walking the dog mid morning.

Shame that it's now pouring with rain!

[feb1991blizzard]

Just now, ChezWeather said:

18z ICON first off the blocks tonight, slightly further South with better snow depth for the East Midlands

No prizes for guessing what snow depth it gives me.

[simshady]

1 minute ago, feb1991blizzard said:

No prizes for guessing what snow depth it gives me.

Why on snow charts does there always seem to be a snowless Manchester?