Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?

[Ali1977]

7 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:

T216 nice snowy low on the south coast BOOM

Snow system moving south day 8-9 too, great run but more importantly we are getting closer to reality ref the starting point!! 
T216, and likely more to come 

Edited February 27, 2023 by Ali1977

[Day 10]

2 minutes ago, EML Network said:

I think you might have to change your user name to THAT ECM 2023

THAT EPIC COLD MARCH 2023!

[Tim Bland]

Nae bad ….

[ICE COLD]

Day 10 and what a run 

Edited February 27, 2023 by ICE COLD

[LRD]

2 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

Nae bad ….

Hopefully a MASSIVE cold outlier

[Stuie]

All looks great from the ECM but this model can and has turned with 24hrs to go...

Look forward to the ens.

[ICE COLD]

1 minute ago, LRD said:

Hopefully a MASSIVE mild outlier

Edited for you mate .

[Snowy L]

12 minutes ago, Lukesluckybunch said:

really?? but its march

Three of the best snowfalls I've ever had came in March. And I certainly didn't worry too much about the sun's strength when I had a foot of snow dumped on me each of those times.

[LRD]

Just now, ICE COLD said:

Edited for you mate .

There was no need mate

[sheikhy]

!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!..............

[Lukesluckybunch]

1 minute ago, Snowy L said:

Three of the best snowfalls I've ever had came in March. And I certainly didn't worry too much about the sun's strength when I had a foot of snow dumped on me each of those times.

wow..thats nice to know 

[ICE COLD]

3 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!..............

Been Wondering where u were shaky . Welcome back . 

Edited February 27, 2023 by ICE COLD

[Battleground Snow]

Just now, sheikhy said:

!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!..............

 

[Snowy L]

240 looks ready to sink the vortex on us! Pink blob definitely moving in a Southwest direction

 

Edited February 27, 2023 by Snowy L

[That ECM]

5 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!..............

What a brilliant forum this is. I’m having a Guinness with a few mates and they said why are you laughing? I showed them your post. Not a clue.

Edited February 27, 2023 by That ECM

[The Northern Ramper]

11 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

Snow system moving south day 8-9 too, great run but more importantly we are getting closer to reality ref the starting point!! 
T216, and likely more to come 

Just the 7-10 Mc’s for the snow starved me. 👁

[Lukesluckybunch]

1 minute ago, Ramp said:

Just the 7-10 Mc’s for the snow starved me. 👁

how nice would it be for many areas to see 3/4cm lying

[LRD]

GFS p1 is 'leading the way' for 240

Or p4

p7 is just lovely away from the NW

Yes please to p11

Not the only ones either

 

[Alexis]

People complain about the sun's strength in March, but it's helpful when it comes to getting the precipitation in the first place. The two cold spells we've had this winter have been disappointingly dry.

[Cloud 10]

The JMA says hi...

 

[The Northern Ramper]

 Nobody knows at this point if the Ecm/Ukmo will be correct vs the GFS.

However history dictates (through numerous examples) that the gfs blows up Low pressures in the Atlantic against a block and struggles with trough disruption.

 
Make of that what you will.

[Ali1977]

5 minutes ago, LRD said:

GFS p1 is 'leading the way' for 240

Or p4

p7 is just lovely away from the NW

Yes please to p11

Not the only ones either

 

If that’s what floats your boat - but it has zero support from other models, the professionals or any other living thing

[Mark wheeler]

26 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:

T216 nice snowy low on the south coast BOOM

Icon will say no precipitation . Blimey I only went an hour and it's gone mental in here , great stuff . 
 

what a great ECM but also all hail the nearly MIGHTY Navgem, its not to bad afterall tonight.

20 minutes ago, LRD said:

Hopefully a MASSIVE cold outlier

Better a mild outlier , as you say it's hard to get lying snow in March so the colder the better .

[Lukesluckybunch]

1 minute ago, Mark wheeler said:

Icon will say no precipitation . Blimey I only went an hour and it's gone mental in here , great stuff . 
 

what a great ECM but also all hail the nearly MIGHTY Navgem, its not to bad afterall tonight.

ECM is far better then this..as it had no signs of the atlantic breaking through..i think that cold shown on the navgem would be shortlived

[LRD]

2 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

If that’s what floats your boat - but it has zero support from other models, the professionals or any other living thing

Cool (pardon the pun), I'm fine with that

But when cold has zero support from most models and pros, a lot of people on here often still post isolated cold charts. So, just doing the opposite for a bit of balance

Cold's been the form horse this last 24 hours. Doesn't necessarily mean it'll verify but it is the favourite