Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards

[Guest]

Ana? Or real? Randon sferic I’m almost the same place.

 

[Zak M]

2 minutes ago, Alderc said:

Ana? Or real? Randon sferic I’m almost the same place.

 

Looks like anaprop - it disappears on the next frame

[ChannelThunder]

2 minutes ago, Alderc said:

Ana? Or real? Randon sferic I’m almost the same place.

 

Ana (unfortunately). Gone again now

[ChannelThunder]

I'm currently downstream of the gap between between the precip. areas. Hoping for some further development to the east of those storms, but currently they're only backbuilding rather than spreading.

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Nothing will happen til 1am - even then it might only be marginal

17 minutes ago, The Tall Weatherman said:

The storms are strengthening slowly but surely ! I think they will be full force at the coast! 

They will be on the decline when they reach the coast, the activity will be mostly in the channel

[viking_smb]

5 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Nothing will happen til 1am - even then it might only be marginal

They will be on the decline when they reach the coast, the activity will be mostly in the channel

correct mate  , i will watch till about 11:30/12am then bed, reason they will be declining when they reach the coast is because the help it needs is moving away.

Edited May 14, 2022 by viking_smb

[Purplepixii]

Anyone got eyes on the lightning south of Plymouth? Looks lively on radar 

[Ben Sainsbury]

7 minutes ago, Purplepixii said:

Anyone got eyes on the lightning south of Plymouth? Looks lively on radar 

I'm sure there will be a little more lightning than the detectors are picking up too, as not all IC is detected. Might be a decent show if you're based Plymouth/Torquay.

The strong vertical wind shear is definitely playing an important role and to some degree makes up for the lack of instability. These cells have been going for over an hour now, typical lifetime for popcorn storms.

Edited May 14, 2022 by Ben Sainsbury

[Southern Storm]

3 minutes ago, Purplepixii said:

Anyone got eyes on the lightning south of Plymouth? Looks lively on radar 

Yeah, too far west for me, but I would get down to the coast if I was down that way 

Does make me laugh though that some on here are calling this a dud just because it's not looking good the vast majority

 

[Eagle Eye]

Just now, Southern Storm said:

Yeah, too far west for me, but I would get down to the coast if I was down that way 

Does make me laugh though that some on here are calling this a dud just because it's not looking good the vast majority

 

Exactly, this day was never expected to be the main show either, that might be Wednesday or another day may come into view.

[Southern Storm]

2 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

I'm sure there will be a little more lightning than the detectors are picking up too, as not all IC is detected. Might be a decent show if you're based Plymouth/Torquay.

Definitely more than being picked up, i am listening to the radio, and I'm hearing loads more than are being shown on lightning maps

Edited May 14, 2022 by Southern Storm

[TJS1998Tom]

If only Lincolnshire would get some, Monday morning looks like best chances 

[Ben Sainsbury]

1 minute ago, Eagle Eye said:

Exactly, this day was never expected to be the main show either, that might be Wednesday or another day may come into view.

I'm becoming increasingly more impressed with the model output for tomorrow night too. Wednesday if we can see good model agreement/consistency then it could be a very big day.

[Eagle Eye]

Just now, Ben Sainsbury said:

I'm becoming increasingly more impressed with the model output for tomorrow night too. Wednesday if we can see good model agreement/consistency then it could be a very big day.

Yeah, could be quite the week. I'll probably stay awake for tomorrow into Monday, my parents have already cleared it.

Wait...

I have PE on Wednesday, that'll be interesting.

[Mapantz]

UKV looks fun for tomorrow eve.

 

[Sprites]

Something may be heading into view soon.

Edited May 14, 2022 by Sprites

[ChannelThunder]

5 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

UKV looks fun for tomorrow eve.

 

It's been upgrading with every new run. Fingers crossed it's on to something!

Edited May 14, 2022 by Lance M

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Just saw lightning on the Dawlish cam

[Southern Storm]

I'm sat on the clifftop in southbourne, and have just seen a flash way off to my west, my guess would be somewhere west of Weymouth even! Must be very elevated 

And again, anyone over near west dorset who can see the same?

 

Edited May 14, 2022 by Southern Storm

[viking_smb]

4 minutes ago, Southern Storm said:

I'm sat on the clifftop in southbourne, and have just seen a flash way off to my west, my guess would be somewhere west of Weymouth even! Must be very elevated 

And again, anyone over near west dorset who can see the same?

 

sorry not in weymouth this weekend (was last weekend) otherwise i would be down portland.

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

Cells in Channel further east - could they affect my area?

[Deep Channel low]

It's rumbling out in lyme Bay, quite a way out but every minute or so

[viking_smb]

4 minutes ago, Deep Channel low said:

It's rumbling out in lyme Bay, quite a way out but every minute or so

how loud is it please

Edited May 14, 2022 by viking_smb

[Mapantz]

Surprised that it was all slightly further west ..

Electrical activity waning, unfortunately. 

[ANYWEATHER]

It's on the way