Leaderboard

Plenty of ens going for some kind of Blocking around the NE..not very often you would get this amount of numbers heading this way! So it interests me. The ones that go full on scandy High with strong PV towards the NW I doubt...yes we can see one of them being propped up by LoW Heights....but with that amount of power over Greenland I'm sure it would quickly get eroded! On a positive note blocking and significant cold as been in place around Scandinavia for nigh on a month,and it may not be a very easy task to shift it! We don't want the Atlantic powering up through the UK and disembling that block there. We don't want to see a major surge of cold out of Canada into

Fascinating model watching ahead. Long term trends are good, becoming a medium range model stand off. 144h is where it begins to get really interesting. Taking the top 4 performing models in order: ECM Atlantic approach angled steeply SE, wave break forced up ahead, low pressure previously sat over Scotland has dropped over Europe as pressure rises over Iceland. UKMO Less amplified over the Atlantic, different orientation of the Euro low and softer profile over Scandy. GEM Similar Atlantic shape to the ECM but again a different take on the Euro low and developments over Scandy. GFS 00z (taking from same data point)

Heavy driving rain and dark by 3pm horrid day ☔️ 

A fresh thread, and hopefully a fresh start after things went a bit off on a tangent in the previous thread.  No big sermon here, but we really do need to make every effort to stay within the forum and model thread guidelines (below) in here. And within that, please, please, please don't respond to comments which are clearly outside of those guidelines. Please just report them and move on so as not to give any iffy, inflammatory comments the oxygen that they do not deserve.  The community guidelines, have recently been updated - so please have a read of them if you haven't yet. We also have a separate set of guidelines specifically for the model output threads t

We see conditions which are on the way come Fri setting up dynamically at this exact moment,  still dealing with the same Rossby Wave with new energy and resulting breaking  This starts with energy within the downstream cyclone which undergoes a significant RWB which then re energises the same cyclone which brought the Scotland Atmospheric river  Worth noting there is a preceding heavy frontal rain event especially through Wales and Central England this has similar aspects given the Scottish event was also preceded with a heavy frontal accumulations bit like a miniature version of the main Atmospheric river. I'm expectant come Friday + Satu

Please continue with the model discussion here.  As usual, please try to stay on the topic of the models. It's a busy time, and it's important we all play a part in keeping this thread on topic and within the forum guidelines. The guiding principles of which are: Be kind -- Stay on topic -- Share your knowledge -- Be polite -- Be honest -- Be tolerant -- Be family-friendly The model highlights thread is running and is entirely crowdsourced, so if you see a post you think is insightful and informative, that should be in there, please use the 'insightful' reaction on it: For access to the various model outputs, many of them are right here on netwea

Time for a new fresh thread for the North West.  The long awaited cold period has arrived. Chat away...

A dedicated thread for moans and ramps and banter about either the weather or the model output. (But not for moaning about other members!)  

A new thread for the new season Please continue 🙂

Can’t help but feel there is still scope for a wintry surprise or two before March is out, while setups keep cropping up where the margins are so very fine.  A great example at day 7, the 12z ECM operational run brings some impressively cold air south into the north of the UK, T850 at -10 degrees in Scotland.    The warm sector to the west slides southeast as the low disrupts against the UK-Greenland wedge at day 8,    on this run delivering a smattering for many from London and the Home Counties north.    Mid to late March it might be, but with sharp cold in place over the north, a Greenland wedge and an Atlantic low happy to disrupt, i